Electric car sales accelerating in Europe

Electric car sales accelerating in Europe

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Electric vehicle sales in Europe doubled again in 2013 for the fourth consecutive year, with more than one in every 20 new vehicle buyers in the Netherlands and Norway opting for battery-powered cars.

According to analysis of official data by the Transport and Environment (T&E) environmental think tank 50,000 plug-in vehicles were sold across the EU in 2013, 0.4 per cent of all car sales.

EU_electric_car_chargingThose figures show the market is set to grow to 100,000 vehicles by 2015, 500,000 by 2021 and one million by 2025, if the trend continues.

European Union news website EurActiv reports a quarter of the world’s electric cars are now sold in Europe.

However, the United States and Japan represent the largest global markets, with a flexible mandate helping the US state of California to achieve a four per cent market share.

EurActiv reports the T&E analysis describes this as “the most effective approach,” and describes a EU-wide mandate of 10 per cent sales by 2025 as “achievable”.

Paris-autolib-use-woman“Electric vehicles can play an important role in the shift to more sustainable mobility, and their increasing sales are being driven by carmakers’ need to innovate to meet EU CO2 regulations,” said Greg Archer of T&E.

After a protracted battle that set the rest of the EU in conflict with Germany, EU legislation to limit car emissions to 95 grams of CO2 per kilometre (g/km) will now take effect in 2021.

Bowing to pressure from the German car industry, the package included super-credit provisions that allow carmakers to under-count their fleet’s overall emissions in ratio to the numbers of ultra-low carbon vehicles sold.

Autolib' Bluecar carsharing service, Paris, FranceEven so, the German car manufacturer BMW and Italy’s Fiat are still on track to miss the 2021 target, according to a separate T&E research paper.

Analysis by the International Council on Clean Transportation (ICCT) indicates that car manufacturers respond most rapidly to stringent EU targets, increasing their emissions-reduction rate from one per cent to four per cent a year after mandatory EU targets were introduced in 2008.

Average CO2 emissions from new cars decreased commensurately from 162g/km in 2005 to 127g/km in 2013, comfortably below the EU’s 130g/km target for 2015.

BMW-i3-electric-carThe ICCT paper said that super-credit provisions would allow electric vehicles, plug-in hybrid vehicles and battery-powered electric vehicles to have “a noticeable impact on a number of manufacturers’ emissions”.

In 2013, the three best-selling car electric models were all new market entrants, the Renault Zoe, Mitsubishi Outlander PHEV and Volvo V60 plug-in.

In contrast, best-selling models from the previous year such as the Opel Ampera, Peugeot Citroen iOn and C-zero saw sales fall considerably.

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  1. “… every 20 new vehicle buyers in the Netherlands and Norway opting for battery-powered cars …” Yes, in the Netherlands these guys are certainly not the typical Dutch who during the summer hitch a caravan to their car and drive the arduous roads of the Swiss Alps. So this market will be limited. Norway is a different story because Norway has cheap hydro-power electricity and a policy of trying to prepare for “life after oil”. The rest of Europe will not see comparable developments. “… market is set to grow to 100,000 vehicles by 2015, 500,000 by 2021 and one million by 2025, if the trend continues.” – Therefore the “if” is the only part of the foregoing sentence that is in sync with reality. 100,000 by 2015 – maybe, but then you will see sales hit a “glass ceiling”. “… EU legislation to limit car emissions to 95 grams of CO2 per kilometre (g/km) will now take effect in 2021” -which is entirely possible with existing fuel technology. Q.v. the VW Lupo, first released in 1998 and unfortunately discontinued about ten years ago, which, according to Wikipedia, still holds the title “most fuel efficient car” at … drum roll … above 70 miles to the gallon! 15 years have passed since, there are other concepts that show the same performance can now be had at 100 miles to the gallon or more (for a four-seater!). Electric cars have a lot of catch-up to do. And fuel cells have yet to find a way to carry their fuel around.

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